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Trump’s return to the White House sparked a broad market rally, with AI stocks seeing a notable late-day surge on news of upcoming infrastructure investments.

Market Overview; The stock market extended previous gains as investors responded positively to the initial policy directions of the second Trump administration.

  • Treasury yields decreased as trade policies appeared less aggressive than anticipated
  • Early concerns about immediate tariff implementation proved premature, with a more gradual approach being adopted
  • The administration indicated potential 25% tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports could begin February 1
  • China tariff plans remain unclear, though implementation is expected

Sector Performance; A widespread market advance saw gains across most sectors, with only energy showing weakness.

  • Industrial, utilities, and real estate sectors led the positive momentum
  • Technology sector lagged despite AI stock gains, primarily due to Apple’s 4% decline
  • Apple’s weakness stemmed from analyst warnings about disappointing iPhone sales and upcoming quarterly results

AI Infrastructure Initiative; A significant private sector investment plan for AI infrastructure development provided a catalyst for related stocks.

  • OpenAI, Oracle, and Softbank are forming a joint venture to spearhead the investment initiative
  • Softbank has already committed to a $100 billion U.S. investment
  • Nvidia saw immediate share price benefits from the announcement
  • Other beneficiaries include Broadcom, Eaton (electrification), Dover (cooling solutions), and major cloud providers Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet

Earnings Calendar; A busy week of corporate earnings reports will provide additional market direction.

  • Netflix, United Airlines, Seagate, and Capital One report after Tuesday’s close
  • Abbott Labs headlines Wednesday morning reports, with expectations for 10% earnings growth
  • Other notable Wednesday reporters include Procter & Gamble, Halliburton, Johnson & Johnson, and GE Vernova

Looking Beyond the Headlines; While the market response to Trump’s initial policies has been positive, the gradual approach to tariffs suggests a more measured implementation of campaign promises, potentially reducing immediate economic disruption but leaving uncertainty about long-term trade policy impacts.

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